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Communication Dans Un Congrès Année : 2004

Artificial Agents and Speculative Bubbles

Yann Semet
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Sylvain Gelly
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Marc Schoenauer
Michèle Sebag
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Résumé

Pertaining to Agent-based Computational Economics (ACE), this work presents two models for the rise and downfall of speculative bubbles through an exchange price fixing based on double auction mechanisms. The first model is based on a finite time horizon context, where the expected dividends decrease along time. The second model follows the {\em greater fool} hypothesis; the agent behaviour depends on the comparison of the estimated risk with the greater fool's. Simulations shed some light on the influent parameters and the necessary conditions for the apparition of speculative bubbles in an asset market within the considered framework.
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Dates et versions

inria-00000859 , version 1 (28-11-2005)

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Yann Semet, Sylvain Gelly, Marc Schoenauer, Michèle Sebag. Artificial Agents and Speculative Bubbles. Computational Finance and its Applications, Wessex Institute of Technology, Apr 2004, Bologne (Italy), pp.35-44. ⟨inria-00000859⟩
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