An efficient methodology for the analysis and modeling of computer experiments with large number of inputs

Bertrand Iooss (1, 2, 3) , Amandine Marrel (4)

1 GdR MASCOT-NUM - Méthodes d'Analyse Stochastique des Codes et Traitements Numériques
2 IMT - Institut de Mathématiques de Toulouse UMR5219
3 EDF R&D MRI - Management des Risques Industriels
4 CEA Cadarache

Complex computer codes are often too time expensive to be directly used to perform uncertainty, sensitivity, optimization and robustness analyses. A widely accepted method to circumvent this problem consists in replacing cpu-time expensive computer models by cpu inexpensive mathematical functions, called metamodels. For example, the Gaussian process (Gp) model has shown strong capabilities to solve practical problems , often involving several interlinked issues. However, in case of high dimensional experiments (with typically several tens of inputs), the Gp metamodel building process remains difficult, even unfeasible, and application of variable selection techniques cannot be avoided. In this paper, we present a general methodology allowing to build a Gp metamodel with large number of inputs in a very efficient manner. While our work focused on the Gp metamodel, its principles are fully generic and can be applied to any types of metamodel. The objective is twofold: estimating from a minimal number of computer experiments a highly predictive metamodel. This methodology is successfully applied on an industrial computer code.

Mots clés: Uncertainty Quantification; Computer experiments; Sensitivity Analysis; Metamodel; Gaussian process

Domaines: Statistiques [math.ST]

Bertrand Iooss, Amandine Marrel. An efficient methodology for the analysis and modeling of computer experiments with large number of inputs. UNCECOMP 2017 2nd ECCOMAS Thematic Conference onUncertainty Quantification in Computational Sciences and Engineering, Jun 2017, Rhodes Island, Greece. pp.187-197, ⟨10.7712/120217.5362.16891⟩. ⟨hal-01511505⟩